SGX
kopi-C with CEO of Scorpio Electric: "We’re building a premium electric motorcycle that excites users"
Phillip Capital Market Reports:
Phillip Daily Morning Note :
US Market (By Phillip Global Markets Night Desk)
9 November 2023
Values in Financials and Information Technology
Each month we take a close look at an aspect of sector investing. This month,
we are examining growth and valuation. Investors hunting for stocks that
reasonably balance long-term growth prospects and current value
characteristics might want to look at companies in the Financial Services,
Technology, and Industrial sectors. These are among the industry groups that
are selling for (price/earnings)/(growth+yield) ratios at or below the S&P
500's ratio of 2.0. To generate the PEGY ratios, we use the P/E ratio for each
sector based on forward earnings for the numerator. For the denominator, we
average the growth rates for the past five years along with two years of
forward estimates, in order to achieve a smoother and less-volatile trend of
earnings growth. We then add the current yield, to approximate total return.
As an example, the current S&P 500 P/E ratio is 17, the current yield is 1.6%,
and the forecast five-year growth rate is 7.1%. The formula is 17/(1.6+7.1)
=2.0. Premium-valued sectors with low growth rates include the Consumer
Staples and Utilities industries. Based on our analysis of growth rates and
valuations, along with other factors, we have established our current
over-weight sectors as Technology, Financial, Consumer Discretionary and
Communication Services. Our under-weight sectors are Energy and Consumer
Staples. Our Market-Weight sectors are Healthcare, Industrial, Utilities, Real
Estate, and Basic Materials.
Market Wrap
Stock futures rose and bonds fell after jobless claims figures added to evidence that the labor market is cooling, with traders also awaiting remarks from Jerome Powell and a raft of Federal Reserve speakers.
S&P 500 contracts signaled the benchmark index will head toward its longest winning streak since 2004. Treasury 10-year yields climbed five basis points to 4.54%. Thursday’s $24 billion sale of 30-year bonds will be another test of the market’s ability to accept higher issuance. The dollar was little changed. Bitcoin hit an 18-month high, topping $36,000.
Today's Big News
Israel Latest: Army Says Hamas Unit Chief Killed in Airstrike
SoftBank Vision Fund Loses $1.7 Billion More as WeWork Collapses
Avoiding Tesla Is Winning Trade for Fund Managers: Taking Stock
'No One Is Safe' After Hottest 12 Months Ever Recorded
Thailand’s ‘Salesman’ PM Travels the World to Woo Investment
Bitcoin Rallies Past Terra Crash Level in Win for Bruised Bulls
OCBC
DBS
Your daily newsletter
US 30-year mortgage rate falls to 7.61% from 7.86% last week, the largest weekly drop since July 2022
Semiconductor technology company Arm reports revenue beat but gives weaker-than-expected guidance
Oil prices slide nearly 3% to 3-month lows with Brent falling to US$79.54/barrel on fears of softening demand
Regional Retail Property Sector
Where will the Chinese go for holidays?
Subdued spending patterns from Chinese consumer means a preference for offerings, experiences and holidays that offer “best value”
Growth potential is greater for countries like Thailand and HK which have gone all out to attract the tourism dollar
Singapore suburban landlords still offer a stronger growth trajectory while hospitality S-REITs are preferred to gain exposure to recovering tourism numbers
What are our top picks in the sector?
China Auto Sector
Strong Oct PV retail sales growth within expectation
Passenger vehicle (PV) retail sales rose c.10% yoy in October, an extension of September’s growth momentum
New energy vehicle (NEV) market posted c.38% expansion, largely driven by plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) segment on new model launches
Anticipate market competition to intensify in 4Q23
What counter is best positioned to weather the current challenging market conditions?
Singapore REITs
3 REITs to consider on retreating 10YUST and returning risk appetite
Overnight pullback in 10-year US Treasury yields to the sub-4.5% levels, coupled with the building expectation for Fed to end its hiking cycle, is an opportunity to re-look at SREITs
Risk appetite, as indicated by MTD price action, that is returning to SREITs should remain conducive if yields continue to stabilize from hereon
Which are the REITs that have attractive valuations and continue to offer earnings resilience?
StarHub Ltd (STH SP)
Stock price should re-test YTD high on earnings uplift
Our analyst upgraded the stock to BUY with revised TP of S$1.25 based on over 6% yield and FY23-25F earnings CAGR of 8%
3Q23 net profit of S$37.3m (+37% y-o-y) 10% ahead of consensus due to lower-than-expected transformation and depreciation costs
Our revised FY23F/24F earnings are 13%/6% ahead of consensus each; we expect consensus to be raised soon
What is our technical view on the counter?
Seatrium Limited (STM SP)
Charting a Growth course
3Q revenue surged to >$2bn, beating expectations; a positive indicator for margin recovery
Offshore renewable projects on orderbook intact while US offshore renewables hit roadblocks; European seems to be progressing well
Strategic review to be concluded year-end but released in 1H24; contract wins remain key catalysts
Do we see an attractive risk-reward outlook?
Singapore Equity Picks: Read more
Hong Kong Equity Picks: Read more
UOB
UOBKH: Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 09, 2023 [2423 HK, 823 HK, ID Banking, MMHE MK, HLBK MK, NANO SP, SIA SP, STH SP, STM SP, BJC TB, PTTGC TB, TOP TB, KCE TB]
UOBKH: Country Dailies: Thursday, November 09, 2023
Click on the link for Greater China Daily.
Click on the link for Indonesia Daily.
Click on the link for Malaysia Daily.
Click on the link for Singapore Daily.
Click on the link for Thailand Daily.
UOBKH: Retail Market Monitor: Thursday, November 09, 2023
KGI
Top Stories, 9 Nov 2023
1. S&P 500 futures inch lower after index posts longest win streak in 2 years: Live updates
2. VN30 Index is the price index of the Top 30 companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HOSE), having the highest market capitalization and liquidity on HOSE.
Find out more about VN30 Index Futures:
3. Oil slides over 2% on demand worries, lowest settlement in 3 months
4. New World’s Adrian Cheng, Sino’s Daryl Ng, UBS’ Amy Lo to join Hong Kong’s first training centre to attract wealthy family offices, source says
5. Gold lacks momentum as traders seek more Fed cues
6. EUR/USD Price Analysis: Climbs back above 1.0700, prints minimal gains
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Technical Analysis: 9 November 2023
🇸🇬 SG
UOL Group Ltd (UOL SP)
Riverstone Holdings Ltd (RSTON SP)
🇭🇰 HK
Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (268 HK)
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc (2269 HK)
Read More: https://www.kgieworld.sg/research/nov09ta23
CIMB
APAC: ASIA Pacific Daily - 09 November 2023
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES...
KR: Grand Korea Leisure (ADD, tp:KRW19,000.00▼) - Steady topline growth in FY23-25F (8/11)
KR: Paradise (ADD, tp:KRW16,000.00▼) - Strong growth in FY23-25F (8/11)
PH: Manila Electric Co (ADD, tp:PHP395.80▲) - Strong earnings in 3Q23 to extend in FY24F (8/11)
SIN: Nanofilm Technologies Int'l Ltd (REDUCE, tp:SGD0.75▼) - Still facing challenges (8/11)
SIN: Singapore Airlines (REDUCE, tp:SGD5.47▼) - Somewhat overcast skies into 2HFY24F (8/11)
THB: Berli Jucker (HOLD, tp:THB30.75▼) (ESG) - Another weak quarter (9/11)
THB: Dohome (ADD, tp:THB15.40▲) (HC) - 3Q23 results above due to lower SG&A (8/11)
THB: Ichitan Group (ADD, tp:THB18.30▼) - Nine-year high core net profit in 3Q23 (8/11)
THB: KCE Electronics (ADD, tp:THB62.00▼) - OP improvement on track (8/11)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES...
CHN: Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery (ADD, tp:CNY77.00) - Good sales growth momentum expected in 4Q23F (8/11)
MAL: Sunway Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR2.57) (HC) - RSDH sale may lift SHG’s valuation (8/11)
SIN: Food Empire Holdings Ltd (ADD, tp:SGD1.69) - On track for record net profit (8/11)
SIN: Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (ADD, tp:SGD0.82) - Strong reversions and high occupancy (8/11)
SIN: Seatrium Ltd (ADD, tp:SGD0.19) (HC) - Order wins to drive turnaround in FY24F (8/11)
SIN: StarHub (HOLD, tp:SGD1.15) - Pushing back Dare+ spending (8/11)
THB: IRPC (REDUCE, tp:THB1.80) - Core net losses continued in 3Q23 (8/11)
THB: PTT Global Chemical (REDUCE, tp:THB34.00) - Small net profit in 3Q23 (8/11)
THB: Star Petroleum Refining (ADD, tp:THB12.00) - Sharp recovery in 3Q23 market GRM (8/11)
THB: Thai Oil (HOLD, tp:THB52.00) - Strong refinery business drove 3Q23 EPS (8/11)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Utilities - Overall (OVERWEIGHT) - Malaysia, ASEAN’s renewable battery (6/11)
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
ASEAN: CGS-CIMB ASEAN Daily - 09 November 2023
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES
PH: Manila Electric Co (ADD, tp:PHP395.80▲) - Strong earnings in 3Q23 to extend in FY24F (8/11)
SIN: Nanofilm Technologies Int'l Ltd (REDUCE, tp:SGD0.75▼) - Still facing challenges (8/11)
SIN: Singapore Airlines (REDUCE, tp:SGD5.47▼) - Somewhat overcast skies into 2HFY24F (8/11)
THB: Berli Jucker (HOLD, tp:THB30.75▼) (ESG) - Another weak quarter (9/11)
THB: Dohome (ADD, tp:THB15.40▲) (HC) - 3Q23 results above due to lower SG&A (8/11)
THB: Ichitan Group (ADD, tp:THB18.30▼) - Nine-year high core net profit in 3Q23 (8/11)
THB: KCE Electronics (ADD, tp:THB62.00▼) - OP improvement on track (8/11)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES
MAL: Sunway Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR2.57) (HC) - RSDH sale may lift SHG’s valuation (8/11)
SIN: Food Empire Holdings Ltd (ADD, tp:SGD1.69) - On track for record net profit (8/11)
SIN: Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (ADD, tp:SGD0.82) - Strong reversions and high occupancy (8/11)
SIN: Seatrium Ltd (ADD, tp:SGD0.19) (HC) - Order wins to drive turnaround in FY24F (8/11)
SIN: StarHub (HOLD, tp:SGD1.15) - Pushing back Dare+ spending (8/11)
THB: IRPC (REDUCE, tp:THB1.80) - Core net losses continued in 3Q23 (8/11)
THB: PTT Global Chemical (REDUCE, tp:THB34.00) - Small net profit in 3Q23 (8/11)
THB: Star Petroleum Refining (ADD, tp:THB12.00) - Sharp recovery in 3Q23 market GRM (8/11)
THB: Thai Oil (HOLD, tp:THB52.00) - Strong refinery business drove 3Q23 EPS (8/11)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Utilities - Overall (OVERWEIGHT) - Malaysia, ASEAN’s renewable battery (6/11)
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
Please refer to below for the technical charts of the day.
SIN
Staging for a strong bullish break above
Corrective double three likely to be over
Bottoming out?
CHN
Out of corrective bearish downside
MAL
Rectangle breakout
At 9-month high
Lim&Tan
MayBank
MAYBANK SECURITIES - EM Asia Headlines 091123
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Visa exemptions yet to make a splashMinistry to probe gasohol shortageChina stockpiling imported chipmaking equipmentVietnam
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