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Writer's pictureAda Tam Ying Ying

Market Update : SEPTEMBER is all about coming U.S. CPI (13th) and FOMC (19th-20th)


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Dear investors, thank you for your supports for the past decade. Moving from simple email newsletter to now having my very own website, I had been trying ways to ensure important information can be reached out to you on weekly basis. However, technology advances had changed our world and the existing ways of communications may still seem too slow and passive to the volatile stock market today. Therefore, I had decided to further revamp my communication site with you by making it more readable so that you can grab the key takeaways easily without taking too much times of readings.

From this September onward, I will write the Market Update on the monthly basis, and the contents will include of STI index Technical Analysis, Market Forecast and Stock Analysis on at least one stock for better investment decisions.

For weekday daily update, I will broadcast in my Community Group in POEMS 3.0 Mobile App : FengShui-007, and you can join by clicking this link HERE after login to POEMS 3.0 My Life Motto: Making continuous improvement, is the only way to reach success.


( My Recommendation 🉐 )

STI Market forecast for September:



Straits Times Index (STI)

Immediate resistance at 3240 level

Observation : MACD Golden Crossover

Possible Direction : Break up from Resistance... uptrend Remark: Last Saturday, Singapore's Manufacturing PMI (Aug) was reported at 49.9, rose by 0.1 point in July. [STI] S'pore factory activity stays on path of recovery, lifting hopes for manufacturing sector


Market Forecast

With markets keep guessing on the U.S. Fed's decision on interest rate (now: 5.25%-5.50%) in the coming FOMC, market is looking for clue from the U.S. CPI that soon will be reporting on following Wednesday (13 Sep).


Last week, the U.S. Commerce Secretary (Gina Raimondo) visited China and during her visit, she mentioned that U.S. firms complained about China becoming "uninvestible", but the Chinese smartphone maker, Huawei, launched their new smartphone, the Mate 60 Pro, online at the same time amid of U.S. sanctions. Therefore, investors need to take note that the markets are betting China on further downside due to their current housing crisis. However, the Caixin Manufacturing PMI Aug beat the analysts' forecasts of 49.3, rose to 51.0 reported last Friday. Therefore, markets may continue bullish in the month of September, and my favorite sectors for this month is semiconductor and banking.


And I would like to divide the month of September into 3 parts for observation, and will discuss next month on the market trend.

Important Data to take note after 2H earning season over (Subjected to changes): Start of Sep - 7 Sep :

SG : Retail Sales (5 Sep) Foreign Reserves USD (7 Sep) US : Export/Import/Trade Balance (6 Sep) Service PMI (6 Sep) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (6 Sep) Initial Jobless Claims (7 Sep) Nonfarm Productivity (7 Sep)

Fed's Balance Sheet (7 Sep)

8 Sep - 22 Sep :

US : OPEC Monthly Meeting (12 Sep) CPI, PPI, Retail Sales (13 Sep) Export/Import Price Index, Industrial Production (13 Sep)

PPI (13 Sep) Building Permit, Housing Starts (19 Sep) FOMC Meeting: Fed Interest Rate Decision ( 19-20 Sep) Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, Existing Home Sales (21 Sep) Manufacturing/Service PMI, S&P Global Composite PMI (22 Sep)

23 Sep - End of Sep : "keep in view"


Stock Analysis : Venture

Immediate support at 12.60 (hit the lowest at year 2020)

Observation : Seem to cross for MACD Goden Cross

Possible Direction : Supported at 12.60 Remark: Possible to rebound at this point with a sudden surge in trading volume on last Friday.

[Yahoo] Don't Buy Venture Corporation Limited (SGX:V03) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks








Market Update for past month

Investor's Must-Know


Tharman Shanmugaratnam becomes Singapore’s 9th President with 70.4% of votes


SoftBank lines up Apple, Nvidia as strategic Arm IPO backers


Keppel REIT replaces Olam Group in STI reserve list


Headline inflation falls to 4.1% while core inflation declines to 3.8% on y-o-y basis in July

Singapore's domestic and foreign wholesale sales declined by 21.8% and 18.9% y-o-y in 2H2023

Singapore’s July NODX contracts by 20.2% y-o-y mainly due to declines to the EU 27, Taiwan and China




 

Other Market Focus that Matters


📌 🌀Highlights🌀


  • Seatrium signs letter of intent with Shell for deep-water newbuild project in the US Gulf of Mexico

  • Xpeng soars after buying Didi unit to consolidate market

  • Frasers Centrepoint Trust to divest Changi City Point for $338 mil

  • Baidu, SenseTime among first firms to win China approval for AI models

  • Fullerton acquires 116.9 million Seatrium shares at 14 cents each

  • CDL acquires 256-room Osaka hotel for $78.5 mil

  • China lowers down payment, mortgage rate in stimulus push

  • Japfa completes new delivery of live chickens from Indonesia to Singapore

  • Meta launches AI coding software to compete with OpenAI

  • As Nvidia soars higher on the AI cloud, local semicon plays hitch a ride

  • Singapore boosts green bond sale to as much as $2.8 bil

  • Sinopec eyes Shell’s historic Singapore oil refinery, sources say

  • BRICs asks Saudi, Iran, etc to join to add heft

  • iWOW Technology awarded smart metering contract worth up to $4.8 mil

  • Boustead International Heaters secures contract worth $31 mil

  • Arm, which is owned by SoftBank, filed for its initial public offering last Monday (21 Aug).

  • LHN Logistics loses free float; trading in shares to be suspended

  • Frasers Property entity secures refinancing for $1.08 bil green loan

  • SGX RegCo issues 'trade with caution' on Dasin Retail Trust

  • Singtel reports 23.1% y-o-y drop in net profit of $483 mil for 1QFY2024 due to net exceptional loss

  • WeWork plans 1-for-40 reverse stock split to save listing

  • ESR Group begins construction of largest distribution hub in Japan of 750,000 sqm

  • CSE Global signs three deals worth $47.5 mil with Singapore government and the US

  • Apple supplier Foxconn begins iPhone 15 production in India

  • Manulife US REIT halts distributions as manager mulls options

  • CapitaLand Ascendas REIT completes acquisition of fifth data centre in the UK for $199.9 mil

  • SGX reports FY2023 earnings of $570.9 mil, up 26.5% y-o-y; proposes final quarterly dividend of 8.5 cents

  • Marco Polo Marine records 28.9% y-o-y increase in revenue of $36.8 million for 3QFY2023

  • Temasek weighs US$2 bil Pavilion Energy asset sale: sources

  • RH Petrogas is embarking on transformation through oil and gas

  • Dyna-Mac signs MOU with BW Offshore to pursue global carbon capture and storage projects

  • Dyna-Mac Holdings enters two year MOU with Kim Heng to grow floating production storage and offloading module projects

  • Sembcorp added to MSCI Singapore index

  • DBS CEO Piyush Gupta disposes of 100,000 DBS shares at over $34 apiece

  • OCBC prices $550 mil worth of perpetual capital securities with 4.50% coupon




📌 🌀SG Earning Announcement🌀

Watch out for the 2023 SG 3Q Earnings Season starts in mid of Oct 2023...


  • ST Engineering gains $32.4 mil after post-closing adjustments from divestment of US marine business

  • Civmec announces 13.7% rise in FY2023 net profit, and 10.9% growth in orderbook

  • Thomson Medical Group announces dip in net profit in FY2023 despite revenue growth

  • GuocoLand reports 60% rise in revenue for FY2023, but 44% fall in net profit

  • Lincotrade & Associates Holdings sinks into the red in FY2023 with loss of $8.74 million

  • Shangri-La Asia is back to black with 1H2023 net profit, but NAV dips marginally

  • UBS smashes banking record as it absorbs Credit Suisse

  • Zhongxin Fruit earnings slump to RMB5.97 mil, down 87.4% for FY2023

  • Union Steel improves earnings to $11.1 mil in FY2023

  • Chuan Hup Holdings earnings up 192.3% to US5.79 mil for FY2023

  • Wing Tai earnings down 91% to $13.3 mil for FY2023

  • Silverlake Axis earnings down by 7% for FY2023

  • FJ Benjamin earnings up 19% to $3.53 mil for FY2023 with post-pandemic lift

  • Taka Jewellery reports $8.9 mil earnings for FY2023, up 51% over previous year

  • Santak Holdings issues profit warning for FY2023

  • Grab narrows losses to US$148 mil for 2QFY2023; raises FY2023 ebitda forecast

  • RE&S earnings down 19.1% to $7.65 mil in FY2023 in absence of Covid-19 grants

  • Avi-Tech announces FY2023 earnings at $3.3 mil, declares interim dividend of 1.0 cents

  • Oxley warns it will report a loss for FY2023

  • Creative Technology reports smaller y-o-y loss of US$6.1 million for 2HFY2023

  • SingPost reports 1QFY2024 group operating profit of $11.9 mil, 11.8% higher y-o-y

  • Netlink NBN Trust reports $28.2 mil profit after tax for the 1QFY2024, 2.1% increase y-o-y

  • Wilmar reports earnings of US$550.9 million for 1HFY2023, eyes better second half

  • Sea Limited reports net income of US$331.0 mil for 2QFY2023, its third straight quarter of net profits

  • SATS reports loss of $29.9 mil for 1QFY2024, its first financial statement since WFS acquisition

  • Straits Trading reports lower earnings on absence of one-off gain, incurs higher finance costs

  • Q&M reports 46% lower earnings of $5.3 mil in 1HFY2023 as medical lab segment sees lower demand for Covid-19 testing

  • Manufacturer of PPEs, Medtecs International, reports another year of losses at US$5.8 mil

  • ComfortDelGro reports lower earnings for 1HFY2023 but sees recent operational improvements

  • Union Gas 1HFY2023 earnings doubles on lower cost

  • APAC Realty reports 1HFY2023 earnings of $5 million, maintains 40% market share

  • UMS Holdings reports a 27% decrease in earnings y-o-y of $29 mil from weak performance in semiconductor segment

  • Straco Corporation bounces back with earnings of $6.38 million for 1HFY2023

  • AEM's lower FY2023 revenue guidance prompts target price changes

  • Golden Agri-Resources reports 1HFY2023 earnings of US$182.3 mil, down 53.2% y-o-y

  • Frencken reports 1HFY2023 earnings of $12.1 mil, down 53.8% y-o-y

  • Manulife US REIT halts DPUs in 1HFY2023; unencumbered gearing ratio down to 59.7%

  • Cromwell European REIT reports 1HFY2023 DPU of 7.79 Euro cents, down 10.4% y-o-y

  • Huawei reports 1HFY2023 revenue of RMB310.9 bil, consumer business reverses multi-year drop

  • Yangzijiang Financial Holding reports better 1HFY2023 results on fair value gains and share buybacks

  • United Hampshire US REIT give out lower 1HFY2023 distribution as it sets aside funds for asset enhancements

  • Combine Will reports 1HFY2023 earnings of HK$20.5 million

  • PSC Corp reports 1HFY2023 earnings of $9.8 mil, down 22.8% y-o-y

  • AEM 1HFY2023 earnings drop 76.2% y-o-y, lowers FY2023 revenue guidance

  • Ong Beng Seng's HPL reports $17.2 mil loss for 1HFY2023

  • Bumitama Agri reports earnings of IDR1.19 trillion for the 1HFY2023, down 45.4% y-o-y

  • Sasseur REIT reports 1HFY2023 DPU of 3.322 cents, 2.6% lower y-o-y, due to lower renminbi and higher finance costs

  • MindChamps shares surge more half following 373% y-o-y improvement in 1HFY2023 earnings

  • ST Engineering reports 1HFY2023 earnings of $280.6 mil, up 0.2% y-o-y

  • UOL’s 1HFY2023 earnings down by 64% y-o-y to $135 mil mainly on lower fair value gains

  • Genting Singapore 1HFY2023 earnings triples to $276.7 million

  • Kingsmen back to 'sustainable profitability' with 1HFY2023, sees 'robust' 2HFY2023

  • CSE Global posts earnings recovery with jump of 142.8% y-o-y for 1HFY20234

  • Fu Yu Corporation reports net loss of $3.9 mil for 1HFY2023 amid slower demand

  • CDL reports 1HFY2023 earnings of $66.5 mil, down 94.1% y-o-y from absence of substantial divestment gains

  • PropNex reports 1HFY2023 earnings of $22.1 mil, down 18.4% y-o-y, on lower number of transactions

  • Thai Bev Ebitda for 9MFY2023 dips despite higher revenue on higher costs

  • Kim Heng reports higher revenue but higher costs weigh down on 1HFY2023 earnings

  • Prime US REIT reports DPU of 2.46 US cents for 1HFY2023, down 30.1% y-o-y

  • Higher project revenue recognition and interest income lifts Dyna-Mac's 1HFY2023 earnings by 218%

  • ARA US Hospitality Trust reports 1HFY2023 DPS of 1.501 US cents, 5.2% higher y-o-y

  • OUE reports higher revenue for 1HFY2023 but higher costs and lower fair value weigh down bottomline

  • Delfi reports earnings of US$25.2 million for 1HFY2023, guides for better FY2023 over FY2022

  • Paragon REIT 1HFY2023 DPU down 15.7% as higher interest cost bites

  • LREIT reports 2HFY2023 DPU of 2.25 cents, bringing full year distribution to 4.7 cents

  • Credit Bureau Asia's 1HFY2023 earnings up 18% y-o-y

  • Elite Commercial REIT 1HFY2023 DPU falls 24.2%, announces divestment of five assets

  • Koh Brothers reports $16 million loss for 1HFY2023

  • BRC Asia reports earnings of $22.6 million for 3QFY2023



📌

🌀Latest Market View published in ZaoBao/Media🌀

(Aug 2023)





Interview at ZaoBao on 29 Aug



Interview at ZaoBao on 8 Aug



Interview at ZaoBao on 17 Aug





📌

🌀SGX & Other Newsfeed🌀



 

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