SGX
Phillip Capital Market Reports:
Phillip Daily Morning Note :
US Market (By Phillip Global Markets Night Desk)
19 October 2023
Investing in the Cloud
The emergence and adoption of cloud computing reflects a confluence of factors. A key driver of cloud adoptions is the ability to match and scale IT resources to an enterprise's needs in real time. All of these factors were accelerated by the pandemic. In the internet era, in which digital commerce complements or has supplanted physical commerce, the IT needs of any enterprise have grown. The traditional on-premises approach is inherently inefficient, given that IT needs may fluctuate. In cloud services models, enterprises only consume as much computing, storage, and networking bandwidth as they need at any time. For a major event, this allows massive scaling of IT resources beyond the restraints of on-premises implementation. For periods in which operations are steady, the cloud services model allows for a needs-only application. The leading providers of cloud services tend to be large technology and communication services companies that provide many goods and services distinct from or adjacent to their cloud businesses. These companies include Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and others in the United States, along with Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent and others in China. Collectively, participants in the cloud eco-system grew revenue at a 19% compound annual growth rate from 2016 to 2022. While cloud services grew at a 23% growth rate from 2020 to 2021, the average growth rate slowed to 15.3% for 2022. This slowdown in revenue growth reflected impediments to normal business activity from the supply-chain crisis, inflation, and rising interest rates. The global economy experienced cyclical softening during 2022 into 2023 due to inflation and rising interest rates, and this broadly impacted the Technology sector. Demand for cloud services has held up relatively well, given that cloud transition is a long-tailed process and that cloud transformation has become an imperative.
Market Wrap
reasury yields remained higher after jobless claims data bolstered speculation the Federal Reserve will keep its policy tighter for longer, even if it decides to hold interest rates next month.
Ten-year US government bond rates advanced four basis points to 4.96%. The dollar was little changed. S&P 500 contracts fluctuated. Tesla Inc. slumped as the electric-vehicle giant missed both earnings and sales estimates for the quarter. Netflix Inc. climbed after posting its best quarter for subscriber growth in years. American Airlines Group Inc. topped Wall Street’s expectations for profit even as its forecast for the rest of the year fell short.
Today's Big News
- US Jobless Claims Fall to 198,000, Lowest Level Since January
-
- Israel Latest: UK’s Sunak Vows to Support Israel for Victory
-
- Early Champion of AT1s Warns They Can Break Banks in Next Crisis
-
- Blackstone Profit Tumbles 12% on Interest Rates, Deal Slump (1)
-
- World’s Biggest Battery Maker CATL Earnings Miss as EV Sales Dip
-
- Trump Leads Biden in Key States as Voters Fret About the Economy
OCBC
DBS
The Chinese economy grew 4.9% y-o-y in 3Q, faster than expectations, led by improvements in retail sales recovery
Netflix’s 3Q EPS of US$3.73 beats estimates, posted best subscriber growth in years
Tesla’s 3Q revenue and profit missed estimates but reiterated its production goal of 1.8m vehicles this year
Stocks with Chinese Exposures
4 stocks to watch on early signs of China economic stabilization
We may be seeing early signs of China economic stabilization on (1) better-than-expected 3Q GDP pint, (2) broad-based acceleration of retail sales, and (3) moderation in external headwinds
Stocks with Chinese exposures, which have seen meaningful declines to share prices, may deserve a re-look if recovery firms from hereon
What are the stocks to watch?
Click here to read our views
HK Property Sector (Office)
Investment strategies under prolonged headwinds
Record high office vacancy, diverging performance across submarkets
Office rental correction to continue and negative reversionary growth to persist
”Flight to quality” trend continues and ESG credential becomes more important in securing new tenants
Which companies stand out in the HK office sector?
Click here to read our views
China Real Estate
En-route for a mild recovery for 4Q23
National sales in Sep showed more signs of stabilisation on a pick-up in developers’ project launches
Further recovery of macroeconomy and policy easing should support a mild physical market recovery in 4Q23
Which companies will be key beneficiaries of China property recovery?
Click here to read our views
Swire Properties Ltd (1972 HK)
Portfolio expansion to drive long-term growth
Commenced the redevelopment of Zung Fu Industrial Building and Wah Ha Factory Building in Quarry Bay
Acquiring stakes in Yangjing and New Bund plots in Shanghai
What’s our view on gearing post the Shanghai land acquisition?
Click here to read our views
DBS Group Research | Equity Picks
Singapore Equity Picks: Read more
Hong Kong Equity Picks: Read more
UOB
UOBKH: Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 19, 2023 (PM EDITION) - Additional: SG Gaming [GC Economic Activity, 600872 CH, 2020 HK, 709 HK, ID Plantation, MAXIS MK, SG Gaming, WIL SP, EGCO TB]
Click on the link for details.
UOBKH: Country Dailies: Thursday, October 19, 2023
Click on the link for Greater China Daily.
https://research.uobkayhian.com/content_download.jsp?id=75656&h=37fca4601222dbb1f9fe53c8716e8a00 Click on the link for Indonesia Daily. https://research.uobkayhian.com/content_download.jsp?id=75658&h=461022d5eb11b2a5f3e84d12a16a255a Click on the link for Malaysia Daily. https://research.uobkayhian.com/content_download.jsp?id=75673&h=df5c4ce323019d5d44d6eaeb6977461b Click on the link for Singapore Daily. https://research.uobkayhian.com/content_download.jsp?id=75640&h=d36172ee2c83e2eb52a95f6738bc55a4 Click on the link for Thailand Daily. https://research.uobkayhian.com/content_download.jsp?id=75674&h=898879c0548418d9d556817a9bdb2b07
UOBKH: Retail Market Monitor: Thursday, October 19, 2023
Click on the link for details.
KGI
Technical Analysis: 19 October 2023
🇸🇬 SG
Rex International Holdings Ltd. (REXI SP)
Silverlake Axis Ltd (SILV SP)
🇭🇰 HK
China Citic Bank Corp Ltd (998HK)
CLP Holdings Ltd (2 HK)
Read More: https://www.kgieworld.sg/research/oct19ta23
Top Stories, 19 Oct 2023
1. Stock futures are little changed as traders look ahead to key Fed Chair Powell speech: Live updates
2. SGX FTSE China A50 Index Futures is the world’s only USD-denominated futures offering investors an efficient way to access the China A-share market.
Find out more: https://www.kgieworld.sg/futures/sgx-a50
3. Oil up about 2% on big US crude storage draw, Middle East tension
4. Gold is approaching all-time highs but it's 'not the time' to buy, strategist says
5. China’s municipalities to issue special bonds for funding urban renewal, affordable housing to boost slumping economy
6. Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD taps $1,960 in Wednesday safe haven bids
CIMB
SIN: AEM Holdings Ltd - Awaiting return of customer demand over FY24-25F (ADD - Upgrade)
Trendspotter of the day (SIN/HKG/MAL): 19th October 2023
SIN
Bearish reversal at the top
HKG
Start of bullish trend?
MAL
Uptrend underway
Change in trend?
ASEAN: CGS-CIMB ASEAN Daily - 19 October 2023
Equity Research Reports....
▌ RECOMMENDATION CHANGES & INITIATIONS
SIN: AEM Holdings Ltd (ADD▲, tp:SGD4.11▲) - Awaiting return of customer demand over FY24-25F (18/10)
SIN: Grand Venture Technology Ltd (ADD▲, tp:SGD0.62▲) - Looking forward to FY25F (18/10)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES
IND: Indocement (ADD, tp:IDR12,400.00) - Acquisition of Semen Grobogan (18/10)
MAL: MY E.G. Services (ADD, tp:MYR1.10) - Immigration services to resume soon (18/10)
THB: Petrochemical (NEUTRAL) - Gauging the impact from ME geopolitical risk (18/10)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024 Preview: Tightening purses (2/10)
APAC: ASIA Pacific Daily - 19 October 2023
Equity Research Reports....
▌ RECOMMENDATION CHANGES & INITIATIONS...
SIN: AEM Holdings Ltd (ADD▲, tp:SGD4.11▲) - Awaiting return of customer demand over FY24-25F (18/10)
SIN: Grand Venture Technology Ltd (ADD▲, tp:SGD0.62▲) - Looking forward to FY25F (18/10)
▌ STRATEGY & ECONOMIC NOTES...
CHN: Strategy Note - China’s 3Q GDP delivered positive surprise (18/10)
CHN: Strategy Note - China to frontload 2024 bond quota allocation (18/10)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES...
CHN: Bank of China-A (HOLD, tp:CNY3.70) - Addressing Malaysian investor feedback (18/10)
CHN: Autos (OVERWEIGHT) - China new energy vehicle market: Highly competitive but great profitability (18/10)
CHN: Consumer Staples - Overall (OVERWEIGHT) - Better consumption recovery in Sep (18/10)
HKG: Anta Sports (ADD, tp:HKD134.00) - Multi-engine growth set to fly (19/10)
HKG: Bank of China (ADD, tp:HKD3.60) - Addressing Malaysian investor feedback (18/10)
IND: Indocement (ADD, tp:IDR12,400.00) - Acquisition of Semen Grobogan (18/10)
KR: JYP Entertainment Corp (ADD, tp:KRW130,000.00) - Strong 4Q23F and 2024F ahead (18/10)
KR: Samsung Electro-Mechanics (ADD, tp:KRW200,000.00) - Smartphone recovery to help FY24F sales (18/10)
MAL: MY E.G. Services (ADD, tp:MYR1.10) - Immigration services to resume soon (18/10)
THB: Petrochemical (NEUTRAL) - Gauging the impact from ME geopolitical risk (18/10)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024 Preview: Tightening purses (2/10)
Lim&Tan
MayBank
Comments