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US weekly jobless claims fell to 209k vs expectations of 226k
Singapore economy grew 1.1% in 3Q23, outperforming the advanced estimate of 0.7%
Following Binance’s CEO stepdown, users withdraw more than $1b in the past 24 hours
ASEAN Internet Sector
Should growing but loss-making business trade below zero value?
E-commerce has attracted more entrants despite similar growth rate as on-demand sector
E-commerce competition to remain high in the near-term: potential recovery in 6-12 months
We argue that growing but loss-making business should not be priced below zero value.
Which are our top ASEAN Internet Sector picks?
Frencken Group Ltd (FRKN SP)
Improving margins and outlook
3Q23 revenue in line but net profit above expectations, as margins stabilized. Semiconductor saw strong recovery q-o-q
Expect continued recovery in net margin from trough of 3% in 1Q23
Raised FY23F/24F earnings by 15%/43%, mainly on higher margin assumption
What is our target price for the company?
Thai Beverage PCL (THBEV SP)
Spirits saw higher brand investment
FY23 revenue and earnings slightly below expectations by 1.6% and 5.3% respectively
Miss was largely a result of underestimation of brand investment in spirits segment, possibly due to higher mix of brown spirits
Net gearing at 0.65x and Net Debt to EBITDA at 3.08x within expectations; should continue to improve
What is our outlook for the company?
Baidu Inc (9888 HK)
China’s “ChatGPT” to start the journey
3Q23 revenue increased by 6% y-o-y, with online marketing revenue rising by 5%; earnings increased by 23%; in line
Recent launch of Ernie 4.0 will support cloud and ad growth in longer term, on top of the monetisation from Ernie BOT
Do we expect ad growth momentum to pick up?
Tongcheng Travel Holdings Ltd (780 HK)
Small cities, big opportunities
3Q23 revenue grew by 61% y-o-y to Rmb3.3bn; adjusted net profit beat market expectations by 7%
Revised down adjusted earnings by 4% for FY23 to reflect higher investments on international business
Tongcheng remains key beneficiary of higher travel spending from lower-tier cities.
Do we expect revenue growth to sustain?
Singapore Equity Picks: Read more
Hong Kong Equity Picks: Read more
UOB
UOBKH: Country Dailies: Thursday, November 23, 2023
Click on the link for Greater China Daily.
Click on the link for Indonesia Daily.
Click on the link for Malaysia Daily.
Click on the link for Singapore Daily.
Click on the link for Thailand Daily.
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UOBKH: Retail Market Monitor: Thursday, November 23, 2023
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UOBKH: Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 23, 2023 [3888 HK, 780 HK, 3692 HK, MDKA IJ, INRI MK, KLK MK, MAY MK, MISC MK, FRKN SP, TH Property]
KGI
Top Stories, 23 Nov 2023
1. Asia markets poised to fall even as Wall Street goes into Thanksgiving with a rally
2. Introducing HKEX Options on Futures Contracts (OOF) on on Hang Seng Index Futures and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index Futures. The new OOF will offer investors the opportunity to take a futures position on HKEX’s markets prior to the settlement of the underlying futures contract.
Find out more: https://www.kgieworld.sg/research/hkex-oof
3. US consumer year-ahead inflation expectations increase further
4. Oil edges lower in choppy trade as OPEC+ delays meeting
5. China’s FDI withdrawal wave could ‘slow’ as outlook improves, analysts say
6. Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD attracts some sellers below $2,000 on the renewed USD demand
Technical Analysis: 23 November 2023
🇸🇬 SG
Top Glove Corp. (TOPG SP)
OUE Ltd. (OUE SP)
🇭🇰 HK
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd (2899 HK)
Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd (1787 HK)
Read More: https://www.kgieworld.sg/research/nov23ta23
CIMB
Trendspotter of the day (SIN/HKG/MAL): 23rd November 2023
Please refer to below for the technical charts of the day.
SIN
Bullish reversal incoming
Bullish bottom reversal is set
HKG
Early uptrend
Bullish trend to continue
Bullish trend to continue
Bullish trend is back
MAL
A new short-term uptrend?
At a 10-month high
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ASEAN: CGS-CIMB ASEAN Daily - 23 November 2023
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES
MAL: Malayan Banking Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR10.60▲) (ESG) - NP growth not deterred by NIM contraction (22/11)
MAL: MISC Bhd (HOLD, tp:MYR7.64▲) (ESG) - Dividend cutback surprise (23/11)
▌ ECONOMIC & STRATEGY NOTES
IND: Strategy Flash Note - 2024 low minimum wage increase poses challenges to consumer purchasing power (22/11)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES
MAL: BP Plastics Holding (ADD, tp:MYR1.39) - Leaner operations but ASPs still pressured (22/11)
MAL: Sunway Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR2.57) (HC) - Strong earnings delivery in 3Q (22/11)
THB: Travel & Leisure - Overall (OVERWEIGHT) - Key messages from TAT (22/11)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Banks (OVERWEIGHT) - Don’t lose sleep over asset quality (16/11)
MAL: Utilities - Overall (OVERWEIGHT) - Malaysia, ASEAN’s renewable battery (6/11)
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
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APAC: ASIA Pacific Daily - 23 November 2023
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES...
MAL: Malayan Banking Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR10.60▲) (ESG) - NP growth not deterred by NIM contraction (22/11)
MAL: MISC Bhd (HOLD, tp:MYR7.64▲) (ESG) - Dividend cutback surprise (23/11)
▌ STRATEGY & ECONOMIC NOTES...
IND: Strategy Flash Note - 2024 low minimum wage increase poses challenges to consumer purchasing power (22/11)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES...
CHN: Banks (NEUTRAL) - Investor feedback from the US & EU (22/11)
CHN: Technology - Handsets (NEUTRAL) - Smartphone sales to grow in 2024F (22/11)
KR: Doosan Bobcat (ADD, tp:KRW50,000.00) - Earnings peak-out in 4Q23F likely (22/11)
KR: Shipbuilding (OVERWEIGHT) - Buy on dips and wait for 2024F (22/11)
MAL: BP Plastics Holding (ADD, tp:MYR1.39) - Leaner operations but ASPs still pressured (22/11)
MAL: Sunway Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR2.57) (HC) - Strong earnings delivery in 3Q (22/11)
THB: Travel & Leisure - Overall (OVERWEIGHT) - Key messages from TAT (22/11)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Banks (OVERWEIGHT) - Don’t lose sleep over asset quality (16/11)
MAL: Utilities - Overall (OVERWEIGHT) - Malaysia, ASEAN’s renewable battery (6/11)
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
Lim&Tan
MayBank
HK: DIM SUM DAILY
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