SGX
STI Returns to Below 3,100, as Gold ETF Unit Price Edges Higher
CapitaLand Investment, Venture, Yangzijiang Financial lead share buyback consideration Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to October 19, with S$158 million of net institutional outflow, as 21 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$11.7 million. Click here to read more.
REIT Watch - Focus on S-REITs’ resilience against rising rates Sabana Industrial REIT, one of the four S-REITs that have reported business updates for the latest quarter, noted positive rental reversions despite a dip in portfolio occupancy. Check out the performance of the Keppel Group of REITs that have reported earnings as well. Click here to read more.
5 in 5 with EuroSports Global - Revving Up Sustainable Urban Mobility EuroSports Global specialises in the distribution of ultra-luxury and luxury automobiles, which includes being the sole authorised dealer for Lamborghini in Singapore and Indonesia. The Group has a strong commitment to environmentally sustainable transportation, exemplified through Scorpio Electric, a fully electric next-generation motorcycle. Click here to read more.
Phillip Capital Market Reports:
Phillip Daily Morning Note :
US Market (By Phillip Global Markets Night Desk)
24 October 2023
Demand Shifts for U.S. Debt
Several factors have conspired in recent weeks to send U.S. Treasury rates sharply higher. These include the Fed's program to reduce Treasury holdings by allowing them to mature; soaring fiscal deficits in Washington and a missing-in-action Congress; the downgrade of U.S. Treasury debt by Fitch Investor Services; and high-profile buys and sells by foreign owners of Treasury debt. Total Public Debt owed by the U.S. federal government was $32.3 trillion at the end of 2Q23. Outside the U.S., the two largest holders of U.S. Public Debt are Japan, which owns 3.5%, and China, which owns 2.5%. Other nations among the top 10 holders own 9.0% of the debt, so the top 10 holders collectively own about 15%. The grand total of U.S. debt owned by foreign holders is $7.7 trillion, or about 24% of the total. While the absolute holdings level is up about 3.0% over the past year, we have seen pronounced shifts among the major holders. Japan's bondholders historically have been long-term in nature, attracted to Treasuries while their local sovereign bond yields have been near zero for years. A recent rate hike in Japan, though, has led to the repatriation of approximately $80 billion out of Treasuries and into local sovereign securities in the past year. China has also been selling, in part for political reasons. China's current Treasury holdings are lower by about $135 billion over the past year. But while some nations have reduced exposure, others have increased it. Canada has increased its holdings by 17% and the U.K.'s holdings are up 8% in the past year. We think this type of global demand for U.S. Treasuries should help keep a lid on long-term rates in 2024.
Market Wrap
Stocks rose ahead of earnings from Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. Treasuries stabilized amid growing speculation that the recent selloff was excessive.
Treasury 10-year yields slipped as much as five basis points to a one-week low of 4.80% before paring the move. Europe’s Stoxx 600 index edged higher, while US futures pointed to shares snapping a five-day losing streak. Bitcoin topped $35,000 and the euro swung to a loss against the dollar as data showed the French and German economies struggling.
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Today's Big News
- Israel Latest: Macron Warns Militants as Gaza Hospitals on Brink
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- Xi Steps Up Economic Support With New Debt Issuance, PBOC Visit
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- Bitcoin Hits $35,000 for First Time Since 2022 on ETF Optimism
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- China Removes Li Shangfu as Defense Minister, CCTV Reports
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- US Lawmaker Arrested in Hong Kong Airport Over Unloaded Gun (2)
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- Jamie Dimon Criticizes Central Banks for ‘Dead Wrong’ Forecasts
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OCBC
DBS
Market News
Singapore’s Sep inflation ticked higher at 4.1% on higher private transport inflation
Chevron to buy Hess Corp for US$53bn in an all stock deal
Nvidia to sell Arm-based PC chips as soon as 2025 in challenge to Intel
Latest changes: DBS Equity Picks
DBS Equity Picks have consistently outperformed market benchmarks since inception.
NEW ADDITION(S)
Add Seatrium to Growth category (Singapore)
Global Airline Sector
From turbulence to triumph: which airlines to bet on in the post-pandemic era?
Covid-19 reshaped global airline market share dynamics
Staff and aircraft shortages are unlikely to be alleviated over the medium term
Airlines that bolstered workforces/fleets during the pandemic now have a strategic edge
Who are our top picks in the global airline sector?
Click here to read our views
Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)
Attractive opportunity to add with abating uncertainty over Cyxtera assets
Recent share price pullback to US$0.48 (5-day price loss of 12.7%) may present as an attractive opportunity to add, with the overhang on Cyxtera progressively improving
Stable operations, attractive forward yields of close to 8% and low gearing puts DCREIT favorably, even amidst a higher-for-longer environment
What data points support our view on this stock?
Click here to read our views
AEM Holdings (AEM SP)
Key customer Intel could face intensifying competitive pressures as Nvidia enters PC CPU space
Nvidia and AMD are reportedly venturing into Arm-based processors for PCs which could see sales as early as 2025
While Arm-based processors cannot fully replace their X86 counterparts, they could continually chip away at X86’s market share which is Intel’s home turf
How would AEM be affected by this development?
Click here to read our views
Keppel Corporation Ltd (KEP SP)
Government introduces centralised gas procurement
EMA introduces centralised gas procurement for gencos, which will likely come into effect from 2024
While heightened policy risks, the new government measures introduced since July-2023, if implemented well, could promote a steadier and healthier development of Singapore power market ahead
What’s the impact to gas importers like Keppel?
Click here to read our views
China Mobile Ltd (941 HK)
9M23 net profits in line with market expectations
Net profit increased by 7.1% y-o-y to Rmb105.5bn, in line with market expectations
DICT (data, information and communications technology) revenue growth remained robust at 26.4% y-o-y, continuing to bolster earnings growth
Do we believe the company can continue to grow its dividend?
Click here to read our views
DBS Group Research | Equity Picks
Singapore Equity Picks: Read more
Hong Kong Equity Picks: Read more
UOB
UOBKH: Retail Market Monitor: Tuesday, October 24, 2023
Click on the link for details.
UOBKH: Country Dailies: Tuesday, October 24, 2023
Click on the link for Greater China Daily.
Click on the link for Indonesia Daily.
Click on the link for Malaysia Daily.
Click on the link for Singapore Daily.
Click on the link for Thailand Daily.
KGI
Technical Analysis: 24 October 2023
🇸🇬 SG
ComfortDelgro Corp. (CD SP)
Singapore Post Ltd. (SPOST SP)
🇭🇰 HK
Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd (1787 HK)
CGN Mining Co Ltd (1164 HK)
Read More: https://www.kgieworld.sg/research/oct24ta23
Top Stories, 24 Oct 2023
1. Asia markets set for slight recovery after recent sell-off, but Hong Kong poised to fall
2. SGX FTSE China A50 Index Futures is the world’s only USD-denominated futures offering investors an efficient way to access the China A-share market.
Find out more: https://www.kgieworld.sg/futures/sgx-a50
3. China set to approve US$137 billion in extra sovereign debt on Tuesday
4. Wall Street Trading Rattled by Wild Treasury Moves: Markets Wrap
5. Oil drops over 2% as diplomatic moves in Gaza war ease supply concerns
6. EUR/USD gains traction above 1.0660 ahead of the Eurozone, US PMI data
CIMB
SIN: Suntec REIT - Focusing on capital management (HOLD - Maintained)
Trendspotter of the day (SIN/HKG/MAL): 24th October 2023
SIN
Overbought conditions
Bearish reversal confirmed
HKG
Bullish uptrend remain intact
Bullish reversal likely to stage a large rebound
MAL
Still on its upward trajectory
Change in trend?
ASEAN: CGS-CIMB ASEAN Daily - 24 October 2023
Equity Research Reports....
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES
SIN: Suntec REIT (HOLD, tp:SGD1.25▼) - Focusing on capital management (23/10)
▌ ECONOMIC & STRATEGY NOTES
SIN: Economic Update - Persistent inflation expected through 2024F (23/10)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES
THB: Kasikornbank (ADD, tp:THB168.00) (ESG) - Stable asset quality in 3Q23 (23/10)
THB: SCB X (ADD, tp:THB145.00) (HC)(ESG) - High credit cost in 3Q23 (23/10)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024 Preview: Tightening purses (2/10)
APAC: ASIA Pacific Daily - 24 October 2023
Equity Research Reports....
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES...
KR: Studio Dragon Corp (HOLD, tp:KRW48,000.00▼) - Growing concerns on topline growth (23/10)
SIN: Suntec REIT (HOLD, tp:SGD1.25▼) - Focusing on capital management (23/10)
▌ STRATEGY & ECONOMIC NOTES...
SIN: Economic Update - Persistent inflation expected through 2024F (23/10)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES...
HKG: New World Development (ADD, tp:HKD19.30) - Plans to deleverage in place (23/10)
KR: Hyundai Engineering & Constr (ADD, tp:KRW47,000.00) - Solid earnings despite negative sentiment (23/10)
THB: Kasikornbank (ADD, tp:THB168.00) (ESG) - Stable asset quality in 3Q23 (23/10)
THB: SCB X (ADD, tp:THB145.00) (HC)(ESG) - High credit cost in 3Q23 (23/10)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Strategy Note - Budget 2024: policy continuity (14/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024: Raise revenue, cut spending (14/10)
THB: Hana Microelectronics (ADD▲, tp:THB80.00▲) (ESG) - Multiple tailwinds to drive OP growth (10/10)
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024 Preview: Tightening purses (2/10)
Lim&Tan
MayBank
[Maybank IBG Research] Today's Research - Singapore
Suntec REIT (SUN SP) Velesto Energy Berhad (VEB MK)
Security Bank (Philippines) (SECB PM)
Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)
Press Metal Aluminium (PMAH MK) Lotte Chemical Titan (TTNP MK)
Kasikornbank (KBANK TB)
Tipco Asphalt (TASCO TB)
SG: SG DAILY NEWSLETTER HK: DIM SUM DAILY
MY: TRADERS’ ALMANAC HK: DIM SUM DAILY
MAYBANK SECURITIES - EM Asia Headlines 241023
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