SGX
Economic Calendar :
Phillip Capital Market Reports:
Phillip Daily Morning Note :
US Market (By Phillip Global Markets Night Desk)
06 October 2023
Market Wrap
US index futures fell and bond yields spiked higher after jobs data increased bets the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates this year.
Contracts on the S&P 500 were down 0.7% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 tumbled 1%. The yield on 10-year Treasuries jumped to 4.82%. The 30-year bond approached recent multi-year high of 5%. Swap traders are now pricing in a one-in-two chance of a rate hike by December.
Today's Big News
- US Hiring Surges, Bolstering Case for Another Fed Rate Hike
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- Exxon Nears Takeover of Pioneer, Its Biggest Deal Since 1999 (1)
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- China’s Golden Week Tourism Nudges Past Pre-Pandemic Level
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- Millennium Hires Diameter’s Friedman to Run Credit and Mortgages
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- PGA-LIV Deal Faces Delay Over Antitrust, Players Demand Stake
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- Arm Faces Wall Street Scrutiny After Biggest US IPO Since 2021
OCBC
DBS
US jobless claims increase 2,000 to 207,000 for the week ended Sep 30 vs 210,000 consensus estimate
General Motor’s share price falls to a three-year low amid strikes and potential air bag recall
Levi cuts full-year sales forecast after missing 3Q23 consensus, citing inflationary pressures on consumers
Latest changes: DBS Equity Picks
DBS Equity Picks have consistently outperformed market benchmarks since inception.
NEW ADDITION(S)
Increase Venture Corp in Dividend category (Singapore)
Regional Oil and Gas
Oil price rally loses steam, profit taking emerges
Reality check for oil after a heady rally, down 9% in last few days on economic concerns
This is despite OPEC+ maintaining supply cuts till end of the year at yesterday’s meeting and positive US crude inventory data
Oil majors are all trading down from their recent highs, in line with our call to take some profits off the table
Could better entry points emerge for upstream/integrated plays?
Click here to read our views
Stocks in net cash
Five stocks with a net cash position that could better ride higher-for-longer rates
Companies with net cash or low gearing tend to do better in a higher-for-longer rates environment, ceteris paribus
We screen stocks based on the following filters – BUY recommendation, net cash position, market capitalisation above S$500m
Which are the stocks that could better ride higher for longer rates?
Click here to read our views
DBS Group Research | Equity Picks
Singapore Equity Picks: Read more
Hong Kong Equity Picks: Read more
UOB
UOBKH: Country Dailies: Friday, October 06, 2023
Click on the link for Greater China Daily.
Click on the link for Indonesia Daily.
Click on the link for Malaysia Daily.
Click on the link for Singapore Daily.
Click on the link for Thailand Daily.
UOBKH: Retail Market Monitor: Friday, October 06, 2023
Click on the link for details.
KGI
TRADING IDEAS: 🇸🇬 SINGAPORE
6 October 2023
🏙 ST Engineering Ltd. (STE SP): Expanding services
BUY Entry 3.86 – Target – 4.06 Stop Loss – 3.76
🏢 China Aviation Oil Singapore Corp. Ltd. (CAO SP): Tourism outshines amidst gloomy economic recovery
BUY Entry 0.87 – Target – 0.95 Stop Loss – 0.84
➡️ Read More: https://www.kgieworld.sg/research/oct06sg23
Technical Analysis: 6 October 2023
🇸🇬 SG
Sheng Siong Group Ltd. (SSG SP)
OCBC Bank. (OCBC SP)
🇭🇰 HK
Vitasoy International Holdings (345 HK)
Budweiser Brewing Co. APAC Ltd. (1876 HK)
Read More: https://www.kgieworld.sg/research/oct06ta23
CIMB
(BFW) Mapletree Logistics Leads Singapore REITs Lower on JPM Downgrade
Mapletree Logistics Leads Singapore REITs Lower on JPM Downgrade 2023-10-06 02:24:37.633 GMT By John Cheng
(Bloomberg) --
Mapletree Logistics Trust falls as much as 4.4%, leading declines in Singapore REITs, after JPMorgan downgraded nine names given downside risk from higher term premiums pushing US Treasury yields above 5%, as well as “potential consensus cuts”. * Investors should “wait for better entry points” even as Singapore REITs are trading on ~6% forward yield and partially pricing in prospects of higher-for longer interest rates and competition from other yield proxies, analysts including Mervin Song write in a note * Downgrades seven overweights to neutral (CLAR, CLAS, CICT, CDREIT, FEHT, FCT, KDCREIT) * Cuts MLT and KREIT to underweight; remains underweight on SUN * Sees CLAR, CICT and FCT as relative large-cap safe havens, and stays overweight small caps CLINT and CLCT * ASIAN ANALYST RATINGS: Upgrades, Downgrades, Initiations
MAL: CGS-CIMB Daybreak - 06 October 2023
▍ What's on the Table...
MAL: Sunway Construction Group Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR2.14) - New contract wins pave the way for potential additional RM6bn works - 6/10
Suncon clinches three contract wins worth RM532m, bringing YTD-5 Oct 23 new wins to RM2.2bn, exceeding its FY23F guidance of RM2bn. We see potential for RM6bn additional new orders from Song Hau 2 Vietnam power plant by Dec 23. Reiterate an Add rating, with an unchanged RM2.14 TP.
▍ News of the Day....
Trendspotter – MY- Puncak Niaga Holdings (6807) (Technical Buy, 0.40): Room to climb further?
• Malaysia’s accumulated fixed asset investment rose 2.8% to RM5.4tn in 2022
• Malaysia launches Hydrogen Economy and Technology Roadmap
• Vietnam willing to continue exporting rice to Malaysia at negotiated price
• Sunway Construction wins RM595.4m contract for distribution centre warehouse
• PetDag to install more EV charging hubs at its petrol stations nationwide
• Petronas to collaborate with Idemitsu Kosan to develop and distribute SAF
UOBKH: Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 06, 2023 [GC Automobile, GC Healthcare, 823 HK, AMMN IJ, MNHB MK, PTTEP TB]
Click on the link for details.
CGS-CIMB SG/Msia Preview 06 Oct
SINGAPORE
DOW -10pts flat NDQ -16pts (-0.1%) SPX -6pts (-0.1%) WTI (-2.3%) GOLD (+0.1%)
US stocks remained relatively unchanged as traders awaited September job reports. US economy is expected to add 170,000 jobs last month, down from 187,000 jobs in Aug. Unemployment rate is also expected to fall 0.1% to 3.7%. US 10 Year Treasury remained unchanged at 4.72%. Oil prices extended losses for the second day as worries about fuel demand outweighed OPEC+ decision to cut oil output. FSSTI poised to open lower on downgrades of 9 local reits from foreign brokers. Focus of the day: local reits.
OTHER NEWS
* Capitaland Ascott (CLAS SP) renewed master lease agreements for 4 properties in France. Terms of renewed leases include higher rent to be received, co-sharing of renovation between lessors and lessees, duration of each master leases is 12 years, from 1 Dec 2023. * Siic Environment (SIIC SP) signed upgrading and expansion agreement for a 500k tonne project. * OKP Holdings Ltd (OKP SP) won a contract worth S$11.7M from PUB for drainage improvement works at several locations islandwide. Works related to the contract will be done by Sept 2026.
MALAYSIA
Bursa opened at its intra-day low of 1,412.17pts as market opened but immediately jumped and traded uptrend afterwards, reaching its intra-day high of 1,420.61pts before market closed for the first half of the day. The market maintained its uptrend for the second half however it ended 0.24 pts slightly lower at 1,415.60pts. Most sectors are Gainers with KLCON +1.24% in the lead while KLENG -1.02% was the biggest loser for yesterday. Expect market will continue drift sideways inanother tight range day. CORPORATE NEWS *Sunway Construction Group(SCGB MK) - its (SunCon) joint venture (JV) with construction firm Kajima (M) Sdn Bhd has won a RM595.4m contract to design and build a distribution centre warehouse for Daiso Malaysia Group Sdn Bhd in Pulau Indah, Selangor. *Petronas Dagangan(PETD MK) - has reiterated its commitment to installing more electric vehicle (EV) charging hubs at its petrol stations nationwide, with the number depending on demand and the number of EVs hitting the road. *IGB REIT(IGBREIT MK) - carried out a revaluation on two of its properties resulting in a revaluation surplus of RM166m. *Infomina(INFOM MK) - has secured a contract valued at RM35.4m from Bangkok Bank Pcl for the provision of technology application and infrastructure operation services. *Waja Konsortium(WAJA MK) - has secured a contract worth RM279.15m from TH Tebrau Land Sdn Bhd as the sub-contractor for a housing project in Johor Bahru. *Inta Bina Group(INTA MK) - its unit Inta Bina Sdn Bhd has received a RM100.5m contract to develop a 24-storey commercial building in Shah Alam, Selangor. *Cypark Resources(CYP MK) - unit Cypark Renewable Energy Sdn Bhd has signed a MOU with Trina Solar Development Pte Ltd to explore business opportunities in the renewable energy (RE) segment in Malaysia and cross-border. *Capital A(CAPITALA MK) - has requested to further extend the deadline for the company to submit its regularisation plan — which is due on 7 Oct — to 31 Dec 2023. *Kossan Rubber Industries(KRI MK) - Kossan Holdings (M) Sdn Bhd (KHSB), the largest shareholder of *Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd*, distributed its 14.35% stake in the public-listed glove manufacturing company to founding family members.
ASEAN: CGS-CIMB ASEAN Daily - 06 October 2023
Equity Research Reports....
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES
IND: Medco Energi Internasional (ADD, tp:IDR1,650.00▲) - Net profit bottomed out in 2Q23 (5/10)
THB: Thai Union Group (ADD, tp:THB17.20▲) - 3Q23F: Red Lobster likely still a drag (5/10)
▌ ECONOMIC & STRATEGY NOTES
THB: Economic Update - Thailand’s inflation: lower for longer (5/10)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES
MAL: Sunway Construction Group Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR2.14) - New contract wins pave the way for potential additional RM6bn works (6/10)
MAL: Telekom Malaysia (ADD, tp:MYR6.80) (HC) - New retail broadband prices announced (5/10)
THB: PTT Exploration & Production (ADD, tp:THB189.00) - 2H23 operating outlook remains positive (5/10)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024 Preview: Tightening purses (2/10)
SIN: Singapore Post Ltd (ADD▲, tp:SGD0.60▲) - What’s next? (18/9)
THB: Retail (OVERWEIGHT) (ESG) - Stronger after the storm (15/9)
MAL: Malaysia Airports Holdings (ADD▲, tp:MYR7.76▲) - Exciting times to return (13/9)
APAC: ASIA Pacific Daily - 06 October 2023
Equity Research Reports....
▌ RECOMMENDATION CHANGES & INITIATIONS...
KR: Pearl Abyss Corp (REDUCE▼, tp:KRW38,000.00▼) - Excessive expectation for new IPs (5/10)
▌ TARGET PRICE CHANGES...
IND: Medco Energi Internasional (ADD, tp:IDR1,650.00▲) - Net profit bottomed out in 2Q23 (5/10)
THB: Thai Union Group (ADD, tp:THB17.20▲) - 3Q23F: Red Lobster likely still a drag (5/10)
▌ STRATEGY & ECONOMIC NOTES...
THB: Economic Update - Thailand’s inflation: lower for longer (5/10)
▌ SECTOR & COMPANY NOTES...
HKG: Property - Overall (NEUTRAL) - Likely policies to support local buyers (5/10)
KR: Samsung Electronics (ADD, tp:KRW115,000.00) (HC) - OP recovery to be delayed on cost burden, but memory ASP to rebound earlier (5/10)
MAL: Sunway Construction Group Bhd (ADD, tp:MYR2.14) - New contract wins pave the way for potential additional RM6bn works (6/10)
MAL: Telekom Malaysia (ADD, tp:MYR6.80) (HC) - New retail broadband prices announced (5/10)
THB: PTT Exploration & Production (ADD, tp:THB189.00) - 2H23 operating outlook remains positive (5/10)
▌ RECENT 'IDEAs OF THE DAY'...
MAL: Strategy Note - One step at a time (4/10)
MAL: Economic Focus - Budget 2024 Preview: Tightening purses (2/10)
HKG: Property - Overall (NEUTRAL) - Time to lift some of the “harsh measures” (27/9)
CHN: Navigator-Strategy - Ride out of the bottom (25/9)
SIN: Singapore Post Ltd (ADD▲, tp:SGD0.60▲) - What’s next? (18/9)
Lim&Tan
MayBank
RN: CHINA ECONOMICS
MY: TRADERS’ ALMANAC
Telekom Malaysia (T MK)
by Chi Wei Tan
TRUE Corp (TRUE TB) by Wasu Mattanapotchanart
Petronas Chemicals (PCHEM MK)
by Anand Pathmakanthan
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Industrial land sales surge by 182% in fiscal 2023 Weak baht unlikely to hit Thai travellers New power tariff rate takes effect Inflation up 0.3% - Commerce Ministry Ministry scales down headline inflation forecast to 1-1.7% E-buses ‘to rule Bangkok by 2030’ Vietnam
China
India
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